Thursday, November 07, 2019

The Course's Claims in the Wider World

Detective Fiction has used an observation-inference process to make some claims.  The operating assumption of the course is that people's shouldn't trim their claims to fit their (incomplete or sloppy or limited or lazy or doctrinaire) evidence, but make strong, interesting claims and then search for the evidence to back them up.  (And if they can't find the evidence, then they are supposed to fix, drop, or replace the claim.)

For example, here's a slide prompted by the November 2018 elections, one year ago.
Note that we often have to fuss around to get the most accurate wording.  "Fuss around" means that recursive process of making an observation, describing it, and then checking to see if your description fits the observation, trying again, drawing an inference, checking it, etc.   We do this a lot, often in the space of 60 seconds without noticing it.

We also have to pick one issue rather than taking about a lot of things at once.  I pick B.

Then, we can find two kinds of evidence.  There are exit poll data.
And there's the classic finding of passages that your judgement (within a given frame) tells you are relevant and revealing of an important feature.

Then, a conclusion (II) derived from a claim from the course (I)

My summary statement is then that our third cause of noir culture is still operating in U.S. national life, with 2018 election patterns as one symptom.

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